Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 3-10
Eibar vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
60.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.6%
0-2
13%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eibar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
EIB
4 - 0
CDM
58%
24%
18%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1979 |
DEU
1 - 1
EIB
71%
19%
10%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1976 |
PEG
3 - 1
EIB
92%
7%
2%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | -1 |
| 30 May. 1976 |
EIB
0 - 2
TRJ
31%
26%
43%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | -2 |
| 23 May. 1976 |
ALF
2 - 2
EIB
72%
17%
11%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
SLA
2 - 1
ATH
39%
29%
32%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1979 |
ATH
1 - 1
RSO
66%
19%
14%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1979 |
ZAR
1 - 1
ATH
53%
24%
24%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 May. 1979 |
ATH
1 - 0
ESP
71%
17%
12%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1979 |
ATM
4 - 0
ATH
64%
21%
16%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | -1 |