Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 3-4
Eibar vs Aretxabaleta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.3%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
8.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eibar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1972 |
MIR
0 - 1
EIB
51%
27%
22%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1972 |
BÉJ
0 - 1
EIB
31%
27%
42%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1972 |
EIB
1 - 1
PEG
65%
22%
14%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1972 |
EIB
1 - 0
COL
61%
23%
16%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1972 |
ATX
2 - 1
EIB
33%
26%
41%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | -2 |
Matches
Aretxabaleta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1972 |
BÉJ
0 - 2
ATX
46%
25%
29%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1972 |
TUD
2 - 0
ATX
73%
18%
9%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1972 |
ATX
0 - 1
ATB
29%
29%
42%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1972 |
ATX
2 - 0
GDE
52%
24%
24%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +2 |
| 01 Nov. 1972 |
ATX
2 - 1
EIB
33%
26%
41%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | +3 |