Eibar B vs Subiza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
31.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+73%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
2º
17º
16º
0
15º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
7º
|
5 | 69 |
1º
|
40% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 65 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 59 |
3º
|
11% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 58 |
4º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
2 | 57 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 55 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 54 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 47 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 46 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
1º
|
9 | 46 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 42 |
11º
|
6% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 42 |
12º
|
6.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 41 |
13º
|
8% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 39 |
14º
|
7.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 34 |
15º
|
9% | |
|
|
2º
|
9 | 33 |
16º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 32 |
17º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
0 | 25 |
18º
|
35% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
1.5% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
27.5% | 8% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
6% | 4.5% |
|
Relegation
|
65% | 87% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eibar B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 1
EIB
64%
23%
13%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
EIB
1 - 0
ANG
33%
23%
44%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +3 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
EIB
2 - 1
SDL
12%
19%
69%
|
27 | 51 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
RAC
2 - 0
EIB
78%
15%
8%
|
27 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
SUB
0 - 3
EIB
68%
18%
15%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Subiza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
SUB
0 - 1
TUD
19%
23%
58%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
EJE
3 - 2
SUB
56%
24%
20%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
UDM
1 - 0
SUB
43%
25%
32%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
SUB
2 - 0
SJU
35%
25%
41%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
SUB
0 - 3
EIB
68%
18%
15%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |