Eibar B vs CD Alfaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
51.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+84%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
2º
17º
17º
6
2º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
8º
|
5 | 69 |
1º
|
37.5% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 65 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 59 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 59 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 58 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 56 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 53 |
7º
|
8.5% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 47 |
8º
|
8% | |
|
|
7º
|
6 | 47 |
9º
|
8% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 47 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 44 |
11º
|
5% | |
|
13º
|
2 | 42 |
12º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 39 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 36 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 32 |
15º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 32 |
16º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
10 | 32 |
17º
|
17% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 24 |
18º
|
41.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 2% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 14.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
20.5% | 59.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
9% | 4% |
|
Relegation
|
69.5% | 20% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eibar B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
RSO
0 - 1
EIB
65%
20%
15%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
EIB
2 - 0
SUB
45%
23%
32%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 1
EIB
64%
23%
13%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
EIB
1 - 0
ANG
33%
23%
44%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +3 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
EIB
2 - 1
SDL
12%
19%
69%
|
27 | 51 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
CD Alfaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
EJE
2 - 0
ALF
37%
25%
38%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ALF
1 - 0
IZA
40%
25%
35%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
GER
0 - 1
ALF
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ARN
0 - 0
ALF
13%
19%
69%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
SJU
1 - 0
ALF
34%
25%
41%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |