Eibar B vs Real Sociedad C analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
22.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+178%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
1º
5º
3º
20
14º
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
37 | 64 |
1º
|
38.5% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 64 |
2º
|
28% | |
|
|
1º
|
43 | 59 |
3º
|
10% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 58 |
4º
|
19.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 58 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 56 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 52 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 50 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 45 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 45 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 43 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 43 |
12º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 40 |
13º
|
17% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 39 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 37 |
15º
|
20% | |
|
|
16º
|
20 | 32 |
16º
|
30% | |
|
17º
|
18 | 30 |
17º
|
44.5% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 24 |
18º
|
75% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
16% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
59% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
25% | 5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 3% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 92% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eibar B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
SUB
0 - 1
EIB
27%
25%
48%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
EIB
0 - 1
BAR
45%
25%
29%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
ANG
1 - 3
EIB
31%
25%
44%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
ARE
1 - 1
EIB
58%
24%
18%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
EIB
1 - 1
SDL
28%
26%
46%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Real Sociedad C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
RSO
2 - 3
TUD
39%
25%
36%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
EJE
1 - 0
RSO
47%
25%
28%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
RSO
3 - 1
IZA
45%
24%
31%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
RSO
2 - 0
GER
36%
25%
39%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
UDL
3 - 0
RSO
72%
19%
9%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | 0 |