EI San Martín vs Luarca CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
16.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EI San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2015 |
TIN
2 - 1
ESM
46%
23%
31%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
NAV
0 - 1
ESM
34%
24%
42%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ESM
2 - 1
BOA
67%
18%
15%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
CLA
1 - 2
ESM
40%
23%
36%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
ESM
1 - 0
VAL
53%
22%
25%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Luarca CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2015 |
LUA
1 - 0
53%
24%
23%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
LUA
1 - 1
UDL
40%
25%
35%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
UCO
2 - 1
LUA
46%
24%
31%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
LUA
1 - 3
COL
29%
25%
46%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
SIE
2 - 1
LUA
65%
20%
16%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |