EI San Martín vs Caudal Deportivo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
67.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EI San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
CON
1 - 1
ESM
59%
22%
19%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
ESM
1 - 3
COV
14%
19%
67%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
LLA
3 - 0
ESM
67%
19%
15%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
ESM
1 - 1
GIN
50%
24%
25%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
AVI
2 - 2
ESM
43%
25%
33%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Caudal Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
CAU
1 - 1
TUI
56%
22%
22%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
CAU
4 - 0
COL
78%
15%
8%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
CON
1 - 1
CAU
18%
23%
59%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
CAU
6 - 2
COV
47%
24%
30%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
LLA
0 - 2
CAU
37%
25%
39%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |