Ehime vs V-Varen Nagasaki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
41.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ehime
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
SHI
2 - 0
EHI
70%
19%
11%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
EHI
1 - 0
BLA
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
BLA
1 - 1
EHI
29%
26%
45%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
OSA
1 - 2
EHI
30%
28%
42%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
EHI
1 - 2
VAN
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
V-Varen Nagasaki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
VVA
1 - 2
VEG
56%
23%
21%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
FUJ
0 - 0
VVA
32%
26%
42%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
JEF
1 - 3
VVA
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
VVA
2 - 1
VEG
51%
24%
25%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
VVA
1 - 2
TOK
54%
24%
21%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |