Ehime vs Tochigi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
24.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ehime
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
EHI
3 - 0
MAT
38%
28%
34%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
VEN
2 - 1
EHI
72%
18%
10%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
YOK
0 - 0
EHI
42%
27%
32%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
EHI
2 - 0
MAC
29%
27%
44%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
EHI
1 - 3
URA
18%
24%
58%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Tochigi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
TOC
0 - 0
KAT
57%
25%
18%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
TOK
0 - 1
TOC
66%
20%
14%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
TOC
0 - 3
OIT
42%
28%
30%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
VEN
2 - 1
TOC
70%
19%
12%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
THE
4 - 0
TOC
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |