EGS Gafsa vs Zarzis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
33%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
11º
16º
16º
6
1º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
15º
|
0 | 52 |
1º
|
22% | |
|
3º
|
3 | 50 |
2º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
1 | 48 |
3º
|
10.5% | |
|
2º
|
6 | 47 |
4º
|
10.5% | |
|
4º
|
3 | 44 |
5º
|
7% | |
|
6º
|
3 | 44 |
6º
|
7% | |
|
|
1º
|
6 | 44 |
7º
|
7.5% | |
|
5º
|
3 | 41 |
8º
|
6.5% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 39 |
9º
|
7.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 38 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 38 |
11º
|
7% | |
|
13º
|
0 | 37 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 37 |
13º
|
8.5% | |
|
8º
|
1 | 36 |
14º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 32 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
0 | 31 |
16º
|
27% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
1.5% | 11.5% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0.5% | 10% |
|
Mid-table
|
53.5% | 75% |
|
Relegation
|
44.5% | 3.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EGS Gafsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
JSO
2 - 1
EGS
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
EGS
1 - 2
OLY
36%
28%
36%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
ETO
1 - 1
EGS
49%
27%
25%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
EGS
3 - 1
TAT
43%
26%
31%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2024 |
CAB
2 - 2
EGS
60%
24%
16%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Zarzis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
ZAR
1 - 1
STA
26%
28%
46%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
JSO
2 - 1
ZAR
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -2 |
| 13 Jun. 2024 |
COS
1 - 1
ZAR
24%
28%
48%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
EMM
0 - 3
ZAR
21%
28%
51%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
ZAR
1 - 0
MED
73%
19%
8%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | 0 |