EGS Gafsa vs Olympique Béja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
35.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
3º
8º
3º
30
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
30 | 27 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 23 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
21 | 19 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 19 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 19 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 17 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EGS Gafsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
ETO
1 - 1
EGS
49%
27%
25%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
EGS
3 - 1
TAT
43%
26%
31%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2024 |
CAB
2 - 2
EGS
60%
24%
16%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
EGS
1 - 6
STA
26%
25%
49%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
EGS
1 - 0
ASS
46%
27%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Olympique Béja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
OLY
2 - 1
BEN
50%
28%
23%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
ASD
0 - 3
OLY
30%
29%
41%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2024 |
ETO
2 - 1
OLY
39%
29%
32%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
OLY
2 - 1
ESJ
68%
20%
12%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
OLY
3 - 0
TAT
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |