EGS Gafsa vs Olympique Béja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
31.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
8º
9º
10º
14
2º
8º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 32 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 26 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 25 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 24 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 20 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
14 | 14 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
12 | 12 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 9 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 5 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 3 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EGS Gafsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
ASS
0 - 2
EGS
52%
26%
22%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
EGS
1 - 3
STA
26%
27%
47%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
ETO
2 - 1
EGS
69%
20%
11%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
EGS
0 - 1
CLU
35%
30%
36%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
EGS
1 - 1
BEN
40%
29%
31%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Olympique Béja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
OLY
1 - 1
BEN
45%
29%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
ASS
2 - 0
OLY
46%
28%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
OLY
0 - 1
STA
35%
28%
37%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ETO
0 - 0
OLY
62%
23%
15%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CLU
3 - 1
OLY
50%
28%
22%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |