EGS Gafsa vs SC Moknine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
13.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
1º
6º
1º
29
7º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
58 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 27 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
29 | 25 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 25 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EGS Gafsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 2
EGS
23%
27%
50%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 2022 |
EGS
1 - 0
CRO
59%
24%
18%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
EMM
1 - 2
EGS
27%
27%
47%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
EGS
2 - 1
STA
44%
29%
27%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
KAL
1 - 0
EGS
34%
30%
36%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
SC Moknine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2023 |
MOK
0 - 2
ZAR
26%
29%
45%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 2022 |
STA
2 - 2
MOK
43%
24%
33%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
MOK
0 - 1
JSO
34%
26%
40%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
SPO
0 - 0
MOK
37%
26%
37%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
MOK
0 - 1
CSH
25%
28%
47%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |