EGS Gafsa vs Menzel Bourguiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EGS Gafsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
COS
0 - 3
EGS
25%
29%
46%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
EGS
4 - 2
RAD
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
EGS
4 - 1
CSJ
69%
19%
12%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
CHE
1 - 0
EGS
53%
26%
21%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
OCK
1 - 3
EGS
24%
28%
48%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Menzel Bourguiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
ESH
1 - 0
MBO
36%
30%
35%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
MBO
1 - 1
STA
52%
25%
23%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
MBO
2 - 0
JEN
54%
25%
21%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
LAN
0 - 0
MBO
51%
26%
23%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
SPO
0 - 1
MBO
43%
29%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |