EGS Gafsa vs CA Bizertin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.9%
30.1%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.1%
36.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
3º
8º
3º
27
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 27 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
27 | 23 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
21 | 19 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 19 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 19 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 17 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EGS Gafsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ASS
2 - 0
EGS
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
ASD
1 - 0
EGS
33%
28%
39%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
EGS
0 - 0
BEN
39%
29%
33%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2024 |
BEN
5 - 0
EGS
52%
26%
22%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
EGS
1 - 0
OLY
41%
28%
31%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
CA Bizertin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CAB
2 - 0
BEN
50%
28%
22%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
OLY
0 - 0
CAB
42%
30%
28%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
CAB
2 - 0
ETO
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2024 |
ESP
1 - 1
CAB
60%
25%
15%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
CAB
4 - 2
ETO
45%
28%
28%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |