EGS Gafsa vs Ben Guerdane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
38.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
11º
16º
15º
14
12º
15º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 60 |
1º
|
42% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 59 |
2º
|
22.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 55 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 55 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 54 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 54 |
6º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 41 |
7º
|
28.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 40 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 39 |
9º
|
22% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 35 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 33 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
|
12º
|
14 | 30 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 29 |
13º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 27 |
14º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
9 | 22 |
15º
|
39.5% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 19 |
16º
|
64% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
34.5% | 90.5% |
|
Relegation
|
65.5% | 9.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EGS Gafsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
GAB
0 - 0
EGS
53%
25%
22%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
EGS
1 - 1
ETO
27%
28%
45%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 2024 |
EGS
0 - 3
ESP
22%
28%
50%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
CAB
1 - 0
EGS
58%
25%
18%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
ETO
2 - 1
EGS
55%
25%
20%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Ben Guerdane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
BEN
1 - 1
JSO
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2024 |
ZAR
2 - 2
BEN
52%
27%
21%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
GAB
1 - 1
BEN
38%
29%
33%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
BEN
1 - 3
ETO
44%
29%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
CAB
0 - 1
BEN
46%
28%
26%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |