EGS Gafsa vs Ben Guerdane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.7%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
31.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
8º
9º
10º
15
6º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 32 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 26 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 25 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 24 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 20 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
15 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 14 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
12 | 12 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 9 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 5 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 3 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EGS Gafsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
OLY
1 - 0
EGS
53%
26%
21%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
EGS
1 - 0
ASS
39%
27%
33%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
STA
2 - 2
EGS
59%
25%
16%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
EGS
0 - 3
ETO
33%
29%
38%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
CLU
0 - 0
EGS
59%
25%
16%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ben Guerdane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BEN
0 - 1
OLY
48%
28%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ASS
0 - 1
BEN
49%
29%
22%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
BEN
2 - 1
STA
33%
28%
39%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
ETO
1 - 0
BEN
59%
24%
17%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
BEN
0 - 1
CLU
45%
30%
26%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |