KF Egnatia vs AF Elbasani analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
20%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
1º
5º
1º
29
1º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
42 | 66 |
1º
|
54% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 61 |
2º
|
24% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 60 |
3º
|
22% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 57 |
4º
|
42% | |
|
|
5º
|
29 | 47 |
5º
|
45% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 41 |
6º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 39 |
7º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 39 |
8º
|
21.5% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 36 |
9º
|
26.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 35 |
10º
|
48% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 10% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 79% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 9% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 2% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KF Egnatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
BYL
0 - 2
EGN
27%
28%
45%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
EGN
1 - 1
VLZ
53%
26%
21%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
EGN
1 - 0
TIR
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
LAÇ
2 - 0
EGN
33%
28%
39%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
EGN
1 - 1
DIN
62%
23%
15%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
AF Elbasani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
ELB
1 - 1
TIR
41%
26%
33%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2024 |
ELB
3 - 1
ILI
76%
15%
9%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
LAÇ
1 - 1
ELB
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2024 |
ELB
0 - 5
DIN
50%
26%
23%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2024 |
TEU
0 - 0
ELB
47%
27%
26%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |