Egypt U20 vs Italy U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
42.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egypt U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2009 |
EGY
1 - 2
PAR
24%
23%
53%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2009 |
EGY
4 - 1
TTO
81%
13%
6%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
EGY
2 - 1
VEN
62%
21%
17%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2009 |
EGY
7 - 1
KEN
67%
20%
14%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2009 |
EGY
1 - 1
USA
32%
24%
45%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Italy U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2009 |
ITA
2 - 1
TTO
82%
13%
5%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2009 |
PAR
0 - 0
ITA
60%
21%
19%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2009 |
ITA
1 - 2
ESP
25%
25%
50%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2009 |
ITA
1 - 0
LBY
73%
18%
10%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2009 |
ITA
1 - 1
SYR
67%
20%
14%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | -1 |