Egg vs Mäder analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
27.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
FRB
6 - 0
EGG
72%
17%
11%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
EGG
0 - 0
DOR
58%
22%
21%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
NEN
0 - 0
EGG
53%
22%
25%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
EGG
1 - 0
BLA
27%
22%
51%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
BIZ
2 - 2
EGG
69%
18%
13%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Mäder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
MAD
2 - 1
BIZ
37%
25%
38%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
WOL
1 - 0
MAD
46%
24%
30%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
MAD
0 - 1
AUS
48%
23%
29%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
FCH
0 - 1
MAD
69%
18%
13%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
MAD
1 - 5
ROT
47%
24%
29%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -2 |