Egg vs Lauterach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
48.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
5º
9º
9º
24
9º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
32 | 20 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
34 | 19 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 17 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 14 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 12 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 11 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 10 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 9 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
21 | 9 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
24 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
ROT
1 - 1
EGG
54%
20%
26%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
EGG
1 - 5
ADM
46%
22%
32%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
DOR
3 - 3
EGG
54%
21%
25%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
EGG
0 - 3
HOH
17%
18%
65%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
RTB
1 - 2
EGG
50%
21%
29%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Lauterach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
ADM
2 - 2
LAU
46%
21%
33%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
LAU
0 - 1
SCR
55%
21%
25%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
ROT
3 - 0
LAU
42%
23%
35%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
LAU
1 - 1
RTB
70%
16%
14%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
WOL
0 - 2
LAU
31%
23%
46%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |