Egg vs Hard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
31.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
12º
8º
44
2º
13º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 45 |
2º
|
55.5% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
44.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
54.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 37 |
7º
|
41.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
74.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
74.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
64% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 25 |
13º
|
18.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
FCH
0 - 2
EGG
47%
21%
33%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
EGG
1 - 2
LUS
60%
19%
21%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
AND
1 - 3
EGG
55%
20%
25%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
EGG
1 - 2
ALB
44%
21%
34%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
ADM
4 - 0
EGG
68%
17%
16%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
HAR
1 - 3
LAU
35%
22%
43%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SCG
0 - 2
HAR
49%
22%
29%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
HAR
1 - 4
LOC
41%
22%
37%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -2 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
RTB
1 - 0
HAR
40%
22%
38%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FCH
1 - 4
HAR
34%
21%
45%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +3 |