Egg vs FC Lustenau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.8%
20.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
12º
8º
41
5º
13º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 45 |
2º
|
55.5% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
44.5% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
54.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 37 |
7º
|
41.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
74.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
74.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
64% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 25 |
13º
|
18.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
AND
1 - 3
EGG
55%
20%
25%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
EGG
1 - 2
ALB
44%
21%
34%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
ADM
4 - 0
EGG
68%
17%
16%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
EGG
3 - 3
NEN
32%
21%
48%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
AUS
4 - 0
EGG
36%
22%
43%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
FC Lustenau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
LUS
0 - 2
LAU
30%
22%
48%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SCG
2 - 1
LUS
59%
21%
20%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
LUS
1 - 4
LOC
42%
23%
35%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
HAR
1 - 1
LUS
55%
21%
24%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
LUS
2 - 2
FCH
59%
19%
22%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |