Egg vs Bizau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
EGG
3 - 1
FRB
34%
24%
42%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
FCH
1 - 2
EGG
67%
19%
14%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
EGG
3 - 1
VIB
49%
24%
27%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
ROT
0 - 1
EGG
56%
22%
22%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
ROT
2 - 3
EGG
69%
18%
14%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bizau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
ROT
1 - 4
BIZ
59%
21%
19%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
AUS
0 - 2
BIZ
45%
25%
30%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
BIZ
5 - 0
BLA
58%
22%
20%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
BIZ
1 - 1
SCF
62%
20%
18%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
BIZ
4 - 1
MEI
54%
22%
24%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |