Egersund vs Ørn Horten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
11.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
1º
5º
1º
33
6º
14º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egersund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
LYN
2 - 1
EGE
45%
24%
32%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 3
EGE
23%
23%
54%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
EGE
4 - 1
FRA
71%
18%
11%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
KJE
0 - 1
EGE
45%
25%
30%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
EGE
5 - 0
BRA
61%
21%
18%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Ørn Horten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
ORN
1 - 1
KJE
26%
26%
47%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
FFC
0 - 1
ORN
32%
26%
43%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
ORN
1 - 2
AAL
56%
23%
21%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
ORN
2 - 1
BRA
42%
23%
35%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
VAL
4 - 1
ORN
33%
24%
43%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -2 |