Egersund vs Notodden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
16.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
1º
5º
1º
36
2º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
36 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Egersund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
TRA
1 - 5
EGE
16%
22%
62%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
EGE
2 - 2
GRO
69%
18%
13%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
FFC
0 - 1
EGE
18%
23%
58%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2023 |
EGE
5 - 1
AAL
79%
15%
7%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
FKA
1 - 1
EGE
36%
25%
40%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Notodden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
NOT
0 - 1
KJE
38%
27%
35%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
VAL
2 - 1
NOT
20%
21%
60%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
NOT
1 - 1
BRA
59%
21%
20%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
FRA
3 - 2
NOT
20%
22%
58%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
GRO
0 - 0
NOT
31%
25%
44%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |