Tacna Heroica vs Defensor Tacna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
16.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tacna Heroica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
FCA
1 - 1
EGB
34%
21%
45%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
EGB
1 - 0
VAL
5%
12%
82%
|
11 | 68 | 57 | +2 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
HUA
6 - 2
EGB
88%
10%
3%
|
13 | 65 | 52 | -2 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
EGB
2 - 0
HUA
5%
15%
80%
|
11 | 65 | 54 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CCA
1 - 0
EGB
20%
20%
60%
|
12 | 6 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Defensor Tacna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
DET
1 - 1
APA
30%
21%
50%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
NAC
4 - 1
DET
51%
21%
28%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | -2 |