Efeler vs Sapancaspor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
15.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
9º
5º
23
7º
14º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
3º
|
89.5% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
77.5% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
77.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Efeler
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
HAC
0 - 1
EFE
24%
24%
52%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
EFE
1 - 1
KBS
64%
20%
16%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
EFE
0 - 1
KEL
75%
16%
9%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
ANA
1 - 2
EFE
15%
21%
64%
|
47 | 23 | 24 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
EFE
2 - 3
KAR
52%
23%
25%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sapancaspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
SAP
0 - 1
KEL
58%
21%
21%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
ANA
3 - 3
SAP
24%
21%
56%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
KAR
3 - 2
SAP
55%
23%
21%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
SAP
1 - 1
ELA
39%
25%
36%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
SIL
2 - 1
SAP
20%
20%
61%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | -1 |