EFCC vs Nigeria Airforce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
30.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EFCC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ABS
1 - 1
EFC
73%
18%
9%
|
8 | 65 | 57 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
EFC
2 - 1
ZAM
16%
22%
62%
|
6 | 64 | 58 | +2 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
MJF
1 - 1
EFC
48%
21%
31%
|
6 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
EFC
1 - 2
ELK
13%
22%
65%
|
6 | 60 | 54 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
YOS
2 - 0
EFC
76%
16%
8%
|
7 | 58 | 51 | -1 |
Matches
Nigeria Airforce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
NAF
1 - 1
MJF
46%
22%
32%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
ELK
1 - 0
NAF
71%
19%
10%
|
9 | 61 | 52 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
NAF
3 - 1
YOS
16%
22%
62%
|
6 | 61 | 55 | +3 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
NAF
0 - 1
NAS
15%
25%
60%
|
7 | 72 | 65 | -1 |