Jesus de La Ossa U19 vs CD Alameda MESA Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
59.1%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
16º
18º
16º
37
4º
15º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 73 |
1º
|
49% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 72 |
2º
|
33% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 67 |
3º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
37 | 63 |
4º
|
19.5% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 61 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 59 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 57 |
7º
|
21% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 55 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 50 |
9º
|
22.5% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 46 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 43 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 41 |
12º
|
22% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 40 |
13º
|
22% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 34 |
14º
|
19.5% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 32 |
15º
|
35% | |
|
|
18º
|
10 | 23 |
16º
|
37.5% | |
|
17º
|
11 | 22 |
17º
|
30% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 19 |
18º
|
47.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
24% | 98.5% |
|
Relegation
|
76% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jesus de La Ossa U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ALM
3 - 2
JES
70%
16%
14%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
JES
1 - 5
EFB
45%
22%
33%
|
6 | 7 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ADI
2 - 0
JES
77%
14%
9%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
JES
1 - 6
EFU
38%
23%
39%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
CAZ
8 - 2
JES
80%
12%
8%
|
8 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
CD Alameda MESA Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ALA
1 - 1
CDG
31%
22%
48%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
ALB
1 - 0
ALA
74%
14%
12%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ALA
0 - 1
CFT
50%
21%
29%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
APU
2 - 3
ALA
46%
21%
33%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ALA
3 - 1
CDA
37%
23%
40%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +1 |