EF Vélez Francisco Castejón vs Fund. Deportiva Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
37.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+291%
+494%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EF Vélez Francisco Castejón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
VFC
3 - 1
TOT
28%
21%
51%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
ARC
1 - 2
VFC
32%
22%
46%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
VFC
10 - 1
ALM
36%
21%
43%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +2 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
VFC
4 - 0
CDA
49%
21%
30%
|
7 | 6 | 1 | +2 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
RML
2 - 1
VFC
72%
15%
12%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Fund. Deportiva Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
FMA
4 - 0
TAP
54%
20%
26%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2024 |
FMA
8 - 1
ALM
69%
16%
15%
|
13 | 6 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
FMA
1 - 1
TOT
34%
22%
44%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
ARC
1 - 2
FMA
27%
21%
52%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
FMA
4 - 0
RML
27%
21%
52%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | +2 |