Emérita Augusta U19 vs Olivenza U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.4%
20.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+169%
-61%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
10º
16º
14º
4
6º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
6º
|
4 | 75 |
1º
|
34% | |
|
1º
|
7 | 75 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
3º
|
6 | 66 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 60 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 57 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 54 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 51 |
7º
|
7.5% | |
|
5º
|
4 | 49 |
8º
|
6% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 46 |
9º
|
6% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 45 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
2º
|
6 | 45 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 39 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
4 | 37 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
1 | 36 |
14º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 36 |
15º
|
7.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 35 |
16º
|
11.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 32 |
17º
|
15% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 27 |
18º
|
24.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
67.5% | 71.5% |
|
Relegation
|
32.5% | 28.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Emérita Augusta U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
FLE
3 - 3
EFE
82%
12%
6%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 2
EFE
30%
21%
49%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
EFE
2 - 3
CPD
62%
19%
19%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
CAC
1 - 4
EFE
53%
22%
26%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
EFE
2 - 0
FDC
42%
21%
37%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Olivenza U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
OLI
1 - 1
VIL
17%
19%
64%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 2
EFE
30%
21%
49%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
VIL
4 - 1
OLI
76%
15%
10%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
OLI
1 - 1
COR
44%
22%
33%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CPA
4 - 0
OLI
64%
18%
18%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | -1 |