El Raal vs Villa de Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
62.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-67%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Raal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
EFA
2 - 1
RAA
21%
23%
56%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
RAA
3 - 0
BAL
29%
24%
47%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +2 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
JUV
1 - 4
RAA
16%
21%
63%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
CEU
1 - 2
RAA
47%
23%
30%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
RAA
0 - 1
CAR
23%
22%
55%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Villa de Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
BAL
2 - 1
VIL
38%
23%
39%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 1
ALC
83%
11%
5%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
ALG
0 - 0
VIL
23%
21%
57%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
VIL
5 - 0
ATL
90%
8%
3%
|
20 | 5 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
CDB
1 - 1
VIL
14%
18%
68%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | -1 |