EF Concepción A vs Rayo C. Alcobendas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
21.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+166%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EF Concepción A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
CAL
1 - 1
EFC
63%
19%
17%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
EFC
0 - 1
GAL
43%
24%
33%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
ALC
0 - 0
EFC
48%
24%
28%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
EFC
1 - 4
AVI
52%
22%
26%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
SAG
2 - 2
EFC
43%
25%
33%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo C. Alcobendas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
RCA
1 - 1
TRC
27%
25%
48%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
ARA
1 - 1
RCA
65%
19%
16%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
RCA
0 - 1
CAN
30%
25%
45%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
SHO
1 - 1
RCA
47%
22%
31%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
RCA
1 - 3
MOR
48%
24%
28%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -1 |