Ethio Electric vs Mechal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
33.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+65%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
11º
16º
16º
40
2º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 18 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ethio Electric
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
ETB
1 - 0
MEH
55%
25%
20%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2023 |
MEH
0 - 2
DIR
44%
26%
30%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
MEH
1 - 2
ETH
39%
25%
36%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2023 |
MEH
2 - 2
WOL
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
ADK
2 - 0
MEH
41%
28%
31%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Mechal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2023 |
SIB
1 - 0
MAK
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2023 |
MAK
1 - 0
KGI
43%
27%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
MAK
2 - 1
DIR
46%
27%
27%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2023 |
WED
1 - 0
MAK
34%
31%
35%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2023 |
ETH
0 - 1
MAK
53%
24%
23%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |