Eendracht Aalst vs Merelbeke analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
10.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
12º
8º
53
3º
17º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 58 |
3º
|
75% | |
|
|
5º
|
53 | 56 |
4º
|
41.5% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 54 |
5º
|
49.5% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 53 |
6º
|
41% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
7º
|
44% | |
|
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
8º
|
55.5% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
58.5% | |
|
10º
|
49 | 49 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 44 |
11º
|
21.5% | |
|
14º
|
41 | 44 |
12º
|
31% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 42 |
13º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
14º
|
21.5% | |
|
15º
|
38 | 38 |
15º
|
71.5% | |
|
16º
|
35 | 36 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
32 | 32 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 9 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 88.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 11.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eendracht Aalst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
SPO
0 - 2
EEA
16%
21%
63%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
EEA
2 - 2
OUD
70%
18%
11%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
DIK
0 - 5
EEA
20%
22%
59%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
EEA
1 - 0
EMU
82%
13%
5%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
TOR
1 - 2
EEA
16%
21%
63%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Merelbeke
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
MER
1 - 0
WES
47%
24%
30%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CER
1 - 3
MER
24%
24%
52%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
MER
2 - 1
GEN
26%
24%
49%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
GUL
1 - 1
MER
51%
25%
25%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ZUL
1 - 2
MER
18%
21%
61%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |