Eendracht Aalst vs Excelsior Virton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
40.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eendracht Aalst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
LOM
2 - 1
EEA
62%
22%
16%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
EEA
1 - 2
GEE
43%
26%
31%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
KSV
2 - 1
EEA
38%
26%
36%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2015 |
EEA
1 - 0
HEI
60%
22%
18%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | +2 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
PAT
1 - 3
EEA
38%
25%
36%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
EXC
1 - 2
LEU
35%
27%
38%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
TUB
3 - 0
EXC
32%
27%
41%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2015 |
EXC
0 - 0
SER
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
EXC
1 - 0
LOM
24%
25%
51%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
MON
4 - 0
EXC
47%
25%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |