Edmonton vs Forge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
59%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Edmonton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
EDM
0 - 1
CAV
17%
24%
59%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
YOR
3 - 1
EDM
57%
24%
19%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
ATO
0 - 0
EDM
60%
23%
17%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
EDM
3 - 2
HFX
34%
28%
38%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
VAL
1 - 1
EDM
60%
23%
17%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Forge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
PAC
1 - 1
FOR
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
FOR
2 - 1
CAV
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
VAL
1 - 0
FOR
35%
28%
37%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2022 |
VAL
1 - 0
FOR
33%
28%
40%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
ATO
0 - 0
FOR
35%
27%
38%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |