Edmonton vs Forge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
12.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
57.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
17.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.5%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Edmonton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
EDM
3 - 3
VAL
33%
28%
39%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
PAC
5 - 1
EDM
69%
19%
12%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
YOR
1 - 1
EDM
59%
24%
17%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
EDM
3 - 4
ATO
38%
28%
34%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
CAV
1 - 1
EDM
61%
24%
15%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Forge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2021 |
YOR
1 - 3
FOR
30%
28%
41%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
YOR
1 - 2
FOR
32%
29%
40%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
FOR
3 - 0
SAN
49%
23%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
FOR
4 - 1
HFX
59%
24%
17%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 0
MON
43%
23%
34%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |