Edmonton vs Forge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
11.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
58%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
17.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.5%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Edmonton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
EDM
0 - 1
ATO
27%
29%
45%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
PAC
2 - 1
EDM
69%
20%
11%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2020 |
EDM
0 - 1
YOR
23%
28%
49%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
VAL
2 - 1
EDM
61%
23%
16%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2020 |
EDM
1 - 3
HFX
30%
29%
41%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Forge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 2
VAL
72%
19%
9%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 0
FOR
44%
23%
33%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2020 |
AFC
1 - 1
FOR
20%
23%
57%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
TAU
1 - 2
FOR
36%
24%
40%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2020 |
MUN
1 - 2
FOR
27%
23%
50%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | +1 |