Edmonton vs Forge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.4%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
51.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
17.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.7%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Edmonton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
HFX
1 - 1
EDM
50%
28%
22%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
EDM
1 - 3
YOR
36%
29%
34%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
PAC
1 - 0
EDM
59%
24%
17%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2019 |
EDM
0 - 1
CAV
22%
29%
50%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2019 |
HFX
0 - 0
EDM
48%
28%
24%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Forge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
FOR
3 - 0
PAC
69%
20%
11%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2019 |
HFX
1 - 1
FOR
26%
29%
45%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
FOR
2 - 2
HFX
71%
19%
10%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2019 |
VAL
1 - 3
FOR
28%
28%
43%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
FOR
2 - 1
YOR
70%
20%
10%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |