AFC Edinburgh University vs Hearts II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.7%
78%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
16.8%
0-4
6.8%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.4%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.3%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+200%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
3º
18º
18º
48
1º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
74 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
71 | 71 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
65 | 65 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
64 | 64 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
61 | 61 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
58 | 58 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
54 | 54 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
51 | 51 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
51 | 51 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
49 | 49 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
48 | 48 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
46 | 46 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 36 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
26 | 26 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
16 | 16 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
19º
|
8 | 8 |
19º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Edinburgh University
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
AFC
1 - 4
TRA
5%
12%
83%
|
13 | 47 | 34 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CIV
4 - 0
AFC
86%
10%
4%
|
13 | 38 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
RFC
3 - 1
AFC
93%
6%
2%
|
13 | 54 | 41 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
AFC
1 - 4
BFC
9%
15%
76%
|
15 | 36 | 21 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
AFC
0 - 1
BER
12%
19%
70%
|
15 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Hearts II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
HOM
2 - 4
STI
38%
21%
40%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
GAL
3 - 3
HOM
27%
21%
53%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
HOM
2 - 3
TRA
18%
21%
62%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
HOM
2 - 3
RFC
10%
17%
74%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
BFC
1 - 1
HOM
48%
21%
31%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |