AFC Edinburgh University vs Dunbar United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
8.3%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
71.8%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
3.3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7%
1-4
5.7%
2-5
1.8%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
14.9%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
3.2%
2-6
0.9%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
9.1%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.6%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Edinburgh University
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
AFC
0 - 3
THE
6%
12%
83%
|
7 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2023 |
GAL
2 - 1
AFC
93%
5%
1%
|
7 | 31 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
AFC
0 - 9
EAS
2%
8%
89%
|
9 | 48 | 39 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
LIN
2 - 2
AFC
95%
4%
1%
|
8 | 44 | 36 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
AFC
1 - 3
BER
7%
14%
80%
|
9 | 43 | 34 | -1 |
Matches
Dunbar United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
DUN
4 - 2
VAL
70%
16%
14%
|
27 | 10 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
DUN
4 - 3
NEW
33%
21%
46%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
DUN
1 - 3
HOM
4%
11%
85%
|
27 | 74 | 47 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
TRA
1 - 2
DUN
69%
17%
15%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
DUN
1 - 3
STI
23%
20%
58%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -2 |