Edinburgh City vs Stenhousemuir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
47.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Edinburgh City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
STE
3 - 0
EDI
67%
19%
14%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
EDI
0 - 3
PET
22%
24%
54%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
CLY
2 - 3
EDI
63%
21%
17%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
EDI
1 - 0
BER
39%
25%
36%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
EDI
0 - 3
ELG
31%
24%
45%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Stenhousemuir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
STE
3 - 0
EDI
67%
19%
14%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
STE
3 - 0
BER
59%
21%
20%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
BLA
1 - 1
STE
56%
21%
23%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
STE
1 - 0
CWB
60%
20%
20%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
CLY
1 - 1
STE
46%
24%
31%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |