Edinburgh City vs Spartans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
66.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+106%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
4º
9º
5º
29
3º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 67 |
1º
|
54.5% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 64 |
2º
|
33% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 62 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
|
5º
|
29 | 54 |
4º
|
37% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 52 |
5º
|
33.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 46 |
6º
|
29% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 45 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 39 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 38 |
9º
|
32% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 31 |
10º
|
66% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 1.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
33.5% | 59% |
|
Mid-table
|
66% | 39.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Edinburgh City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
EDI
1 - 2
STR
40%
24%
36%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
ELG
3 - 3
EDI
73%
17%
11%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
CLY
1 - 1
EDI
70%
18%
12%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
QUE
1 - 0
EDI
84%
11%
5%
|
35 | 63 | 28 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
EDI
0 - 4
PET
19%
22%
59%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Spartans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
CLY
1 - 1
SPA
25%
25%
50%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
SPA
0 - 1
EAS
50%
26%
25%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ABE
4 - 0
SPA
83%
13%
5%
|
56 | 82 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
ELG
1 - 1
SPA
27%
25%
49%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 0
FOR
67%
21%
12%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | +1 |