Edinburgh City vs Motherwell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.3%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
73.4%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Edinburgh City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
QUE
3 - 0
EDI
49%
25%
26%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2017 |
EDI
2 - 2
BER
52%
24%
24%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2017 |
EDI
1 - 1
RAI
35%
26%
39%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
BER
3 - 2
EDI
38%
25%
37%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
EDI
1 - 0
STI
41%
25%
34%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Motherwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
MHE
4 - 0
GRE
71%
17%
12%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
QUE
1 - 5
MHE
14%
19%
67%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 0
MHE
15%
19%
66%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
GAT
3 - 2
MHE
15%
19%
66%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2017 |
LIV
0 - 2
MHE
38%
24%
38%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |