Cup 1/64
Global 1-0
Edinburgh City vs Forfar Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
54.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Edinburgh City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
EDI
0 - 1
CLY
32%
26%
42%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
EDI
1 - 2
ELG
32%
24%
45%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
EDI
3 - 3
ARB
45%
24%
31%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
BLA
1 - 1
EDI
72%
16%
12%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
EDI
0 - 1
MON
59%
21%
19%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
ARB
2 - 0
FOR
27%
25%
49%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 3
TNS
18%
19%
62%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 3
MON
75%
16%
9%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
CLY
0 - 1
FOR
40%
25%
35%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
FOR
4 - 1
STI
65%
20%
15%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |