League One Scotland - Promotion Semi-finals
Global 5-2
Edinburgh City vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
24.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Edinburgh City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
STI
5 - 0
EDI
28%
28%
44%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2022 |
EDI
2 - 1
BLA
43%
26%
31%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
CWB
0 - 0
EDI
20%
25%
55%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
EDI
2 - 0
FOR
43%
27%
31%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
EDI
1 - 1
KHE
25%
25%
50%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
DUM
2 - 1
CLY
36%
27%
37%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
COV
1 - 0
DUM
79%
14%
6%
|
43 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
AIR
3 - 2
DUM
70%
19%
12%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
DUM
1 - 1
PET
28%
25%
47%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
ALL
2 - 3
DUM
66%
19%
15%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +1 |