Edinburgh City vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
56.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Edinburgh City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
AIR
1 - 1
EDI
70%
18%
12%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2022 |
BLA
2 - 1
EDI
45%
24%
31%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2022 |
EDI
2 - 0
BLA
42%
25%
33%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +2 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
DUM
1 - 1
EDI
27%
25%
49%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2022 |
EDI
4 - 1
DUM
53%
22%
25%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2022 |
ARB
3 - 0
CWB
84%
12%
4%
|
66 | 41 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
STM
0 - 1
ARB
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
ARB
33%
26%
42%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
BRE
1 - 2
ARB
21%
24%
55%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2022 |
ARB
0 - 0
ICT
41%
25%
35%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |