Eddersheim vs Fernwald analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
50.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
3º
12º
12º
41
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 73 |
1º
|
46.5% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 71 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 68 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 65 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 59 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 55 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 52 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 52 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 52 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 51 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 50 |
11º
|
7.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
32 | 50 |
12º
|
7% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 47 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 45 |
14º
|
13% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 43 |
15º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 40 |
16º
|
23.5% | |
|
17º
|
21 | 36 |
17º
|
37% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 24 |
18º
|
52% | |
|
19º
|
12 | 23 |
19º
|
62.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 8% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 19.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
69.5% | 72.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
12.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
17.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eddersheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
RWW
2 - 4
EDD
70%
16%
14%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
WAL
3 - 3
EDD
61%
19%
20%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
EDD
2 - 1
WOL
42%
22%
36%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
EDD
0 - 4
SVA
38%
22%
40%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -3 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
SUF
3 - 1
EDD
39%
22%
39%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Fernwald
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
FER
1 - 1
FCH
76%
14%
10%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
BAU
0 - 2
FER
46%
24%
30%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
FER
1 - 0
HUN
64%
19%
18%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 1
FER
22%
20%
58%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
RWW
2 - 2
FER
55%
22%
23%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |